There is a saying in international politics; there is no constant act or policy in the arena.
A new analysis seen by the Observer revealed more than 100 Westminster electorates who have voted to leave the EU now switched their support to Remain in the bloc. The study concludes that most seats in Britain now contain a majority of voters who want to stay in the EU. This could have a significant impact on the parliamentary battle of Brexit later this year.
It comes with the prime minister still having to bargain Commons votes over Brexit and also the stance of a parliamentary vote over the final Brexit deal. Plans are already being drawn up by May’s adversaries to try to force a new referendum.
The study used a method known as multi-level regression and post-stratification, similar to that used by YouGov in its pre-election model, which proved far more accurate than conformist opinion polls. However, the polling sample used by YouGov for its election model was much bigger, covering some 50,000 people.
Remain supporters thinking that the findings would impact positively as it would give more MPs the confidence to back a Brexit rethink. However, some pro-Remain MPs are still uncertain that there has been a momentous shift and think a second vote would be a huge risk.
> Alma Siddiqua
Brexit: More than 100 Seats that Backed Now Want to Stay in EU
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